Total economic isolation from (of) the united States.
This has been something that Russia has been working on for a few years now.
A few years back, Russia started handing out big incentives to pharmaceutical companies and technology companies for them to start manufacturing within Russia or within Russia-friendly countries in the region.
This was a move in anticipation of an economic showdown with the US over territories or resources that might lead to a blockade or sanctions against Russia. Russia didn’t want to become an island, walled off from Western states and, more importantly, their cutting edge technology and medical industries.
One of the biggest reasons Armenia has been booming as of late is because Russia has a very laissez faire free trade agreement, where anything produced in Armenia can be imported to Russia at a very low or no tax and with loose regulatory oversight. The same applies to a good chunk of that region.
Lots of giant companies, like GE, Siemens, Bosch and many car manufacturers have all built new plants in Russia over the last 5 years or so.
There are lots of motivations on all three sides. Russians want to stay up to date on technology, the US wants to turn off Russia (and China) from directly competing with the US (on production and on economics, like exchange currencies and bonds). And private companies don’t want to lose the business that the Russian market offers, especially with all of the money Russia makes from it’s natural resources, which is one of Russia’s few bright spots.
So, it shouldn’t be a shock to anyone that this is finally going down the way that it is. Both countries are trying to position themselves for a checkmate, but the game has been going for quite some time, Ukraine was just a big “check” on Russia’s part.